India Meteorological Department will use dynamic model for forecasting

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Pune: Statistical Models Used by India Meteorological Department (IMD) failed to predict all three dried in India in the last decade. Although statistical models will still be used for forecasting the monsoon, the ministry Earth Science Emphasis is placed on dynamic model.

M Rajeevan of National Atmospheric Research Laboratory “The failure to predict the 2009 drought has raised a number of serious issues. On the other hand, state-of-the-art coupled ocean atmospheric models have better skills in predicting the inter-annual variability of Indian summer monsoon rainfall,” said Dr.

He was speaking at the Golden Jubilee Conference of the Indian Institute of Climate Change (IITM), Pune on the topic ‘Opportunities and Challenges in Monsoon Prediction in a Changing Climate’. Since 2011, IITM has used a coupled model for monsoon forecasting.

Better weather forecasting requires data from all parts of the world. “In every part of the world, farmers are saying that the climate is not the same as it used to be. Therefore, conventional wisdom is also failing. For better weather forecasting, we need observations from all countries. We need more There is a need for even more supercomputers. Capabilities. We need to have knowledge about how to translate scientific advances into concrete applications,” said Michel Jaroud, Secretary-General of the World Meteorological Organization.

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